Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Store Championship
decks
1
(3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.2%
avg ELO +3.3 per match
expected value
51.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1311
· median 1311
· range 1311–1311
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1103
Q1 1230
Q3 1406
1574
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Fire Byakko | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.5 |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
